Restrictions are increasing – what is the next step?

The restrictions in daily life are becoming increasingly noticeable in Germany as well. The service sector lies largely idle, following in the footsteps of the manufacturing and automotive industries. The economic losses will be correspondingly high. According to the current set of rules and regulations of the policy to combat Covid-19, German GDP is shrinking by around 2.25% per month. This shows that the current restrictions on daily life can only be sustained for a limited period of time. At the latest by the end of April, the situation should ease, otherwise the economic damage would be very severe and could also leave lasting structural marks. The German government’s current forecasts for GDP growth in Germany of -5% probably made similar assumptions.

The hope of the federal and state governments must therefore be that the current course will be successful and that the number of new infections will be reduced in the coming weeks. If this is not the case, the question of how long the current situation can be maintained will become increasingly pressing. Especially since the current measures are restricting the basic values of freedom in Germany and are thus beginning to undermine the basis of Germany’s social and economic success. In Berlin and the state capitals, one should slowly begin to think the problem situation from the end, so that all necessary options are left open.

The dynamics of new infections remain high. As has already been written here several times, a visible slowdown can only be expected at the end of the week.

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